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Monday, January 9th, 2017 12:18 pm
This is a weird time to be a dedicated urbanist. Cities are popular again -- everyone is finally acknowledging what I always knew to be right! Real development is happening in them again, with a focus on walkable, liveable neighborhoods. That's great... except for how it is pushing out all the diversity which made the cities interesting in the first place. The new construction is all so bland and safe and boring, and every few days we lose another neat old building to it just here in Seattle alone. I know I will never have the cool shop I've always wanted, in some old brick industrial building. They're all condos already.

I don't see any way around it, unfortunately. We failed to invest in cities for the entire second half of the 20th century in this country, during which the population more than doubled. They have a huge technical debt which will take decades to pay off. Even if there was some way to stop it (if you know how to reliably, easily subvert market forces on this scale, please let me know!), it would just mean continuing to throw resources in the cultural, environmental, psychic pit that is the American suburb at the expense of cities. No thanks.

Eventually, hopefully, we'll get back to balanced cities which have enough housing for everyone, with strong transit systems that help the poor instead of gentrifying them out into the exurbs. The current overwhelming sameness of the new construction will fade as things age and get remodeled. We'll end up with a healthy blend of buildings in various states of disrepair, supporting a wide range of uses like Jane Jacobs talked about. For much of my life, cities were seen as mostly for poor people. Now suddenly they're only for rich people. But both of those are anomalous on the scale of human history. Cities used to be for everyone, and I see no reason they can't be once again.

But it does really kind of suck right now, and likely will continue to for at least the next 20 years.

ETA: This was partly inspired by reading Happy City, and partly as a reminder to myself to walk the walk. The University District in Seattle is about to be considerably upzoned, since the light rail station will be open in a few years and students don't form NIMBY coalitions. Which is great -- creating a second area of truly dense urban living in the city is huge. But it'll inevitably destroy the squalid charm of the Ave, which I unironically love. There is also a good chance it will push away two of my favorite retail establishments of all time, Hardwick's Hardware and Thai Tom's. I can't help but feel conflicted, so I need to focus on the big picture.
Monday, January 9th, 2017 08:28 pm (UTC)
Do you think that new cities, or new urbanization, is a tolerable alternative to redevelopment of existing urban centres and infrastructure? You see bits of that on the fringes of some places, and while it's unlikely to become the dominant development model, I'm curious whether you think there's any reason it can't or shouldn't. It seems that there are pockets of that happening throughout Cascadia, that pockets of the sprawl start to increase in density to the point of being urban or at least nigh-so. There are parts of Bellevue's fringes I never would've called urban a decade ago, but which clearly are now, and that seems to be part of the future for bits of the WA-167 corridor, especially as transit expands. Hell, Tacoma is even planning significant new urbanization efforts to meet future population needs, not just playing catch-up with the present like Seattle.

(It seems to me that there is also a narrow tier of cities built up in the latter half of the 20th Century which, rather than being for the poor (since that happened to primarily extant urban centres, or to ones which were built up and followed a similar downward arc, as some of the newer build-ups in the Rust Belt), were for the rich, just not at night. Financial and knowledge-industry centres which housed very few people in their urban core. While there's not a huge number of those, there are some cities which house disproportionately few people, and which seem like they could be redeveloped to support human habitation.)
Monday, January 9th, 2017 10:03 pm (UTC)
They're an improvement, I guess? I'm not sure they really outperform true sprawl in many of the metrics I'm concerned about anyway, like carbon emissions. And they mostly seem almost as impossibly expensive as the city proper.

I'm certainly eager to see how they develop as Link expands over the next 30 years, though! Expanding things like has to be part of the solution.