The article did mention that about half had been counted, so unless a massive shift occurs in the second half (which would be pretty odd, statistically), it's no on both.
The counts for viaduct replacement had less than 2000 votes separating the two positions with roughly 70,000 ballots counted. All-mail elections are unprecedented in this state - who's to say the early voters aren't the statistical anomaly?
It's not like it matters how the vote turns out anyway. The Governor's going to say what happens, the Mayor's going to whine about it, and then whatever plan gets chosen will be re-voted upon eleventy-seven times through the public initiative process thanks to Seattle's historical and enduring devotion to self-sabotage in its own infrastructure planning.
I take the fact that Nickels, Licata, and Steinbrueck have already responded as indication that the vote information they're receiving does not make a trend shift look likely. I'm not going to take a firm position that such a shift won't occur- it does happen, of course, though rarely- but I'm also not going to expect it. I am certainly not the one to say that the early voters aren't the statistical anomaly, but there are folks whose place it is to make exactly that prediction.
And yes, I'm not too hopeful that this vote will make too much difference. I simply like to see voters being obstinate like this- particularly in ways I agree with. My pleasure in the results is wholly selfish.
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Re: Counting chickens, etcetera
*cough*deweydefeatstruman*cough*
It's not like it matters how the vote turns out anyway. The Governor's going to say what happens, the Mayor's going to whine about it, and then whatever plan gets chosen will be re-voted upon eleventy-seven times through the public initiative process thanks to Seattle's historical and enduring devotion to self-sabotage in its own infrastructure planning.
Re: *cough*deweydefeatstruman*cough*
And yes, I'm not too hopeful that this vote will make too much difference. I simply like to see voters being obstinate like this- particularly in ways I agree with. My pleasure in the results is wholly selfish.