I have had more nightmares about nuclear war in the past two years than I ever did as a teenager, and I used to worry about it a fair amount. The town I grew up in, Andover MA, was a secondary nuclear target, so I knew that I was toast if the Soviets attacked, and I can recall reading the Jonathan Schell's the Abolition, McNamara's Blundering Into Disaster, and other books on nuclear deterrence and such. I felt much easier about things since the Wall came down, but since 9/11, I am convinced that it's only a matter of time.
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My bet: India and Pakistan.